10 May 2013

Google IO predictions

I don't work at Google, so I can play to Google IO prediction game.  Here are my Android predictions:
  1. New android version -- 99%
  2. New Nexus 7 -- 90%
  3. Upgraded storage on the Nexus 4 -- 70%
  4. T-mobile LTE for Nexus 4 -- 40%
  5. AT&T LTE for Nexus 4 -- 30%
  6. Verizon Nexus 4 -- 15%
 So I think that means there is a (0.99 * 0.9 * 0.7 * 0.4 * 0.3 * 0.15) a 1% chance of all of these things happening.
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2 comments:

  1. Anonymous11 May, 2013 04:19

    You are assuming independence. Is that really the case?

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  2. Jim11 May, 2013 08:15

    Yes, I am assuming independence. I think that's reasonable since each prediction would have involved different people to get it done.

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